Will Donald Trump keep his US Election promises? / News / The Foreigner

Will Donald Trump keep his US Election promises?. As the American Presidential Election shouting subsides, Norway and the world enter unchartered waters regarding US politics. Several of the world's leaders congratulated the GOP’s (Republican Party) Donald Trump on his victory today. Among them were Erna Solberg, Prime Minister of Norway, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg, Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, and UK Prime Minister Theresa May.

trump, uspresident, clinton, obama, election, politics, immigration, defence, economy, thewhitehouse, republicans, democrats, paywall



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Will Donald Trump keep his US Election promises?

Published on Wednesday, 9th November, 2016 at 21:12 under the news category, by Michael Sandelson   .
Last Updated on 9th November 2016 at 21:56.

As the American Presidential Election shouting subsides, Norway and the world enter unchartered waters regarding US politics.

Donald Trump
Trump speaking to supporters at an immigration policy speech at the Phoenix Convention Center in Phoenix, Arizona in August this year.Donald Trump
Photo: Gage Skidmore/Wikimedia Commons


Several of the world's leaders congratulated the GOP’s (Republican Party) Donald Trump on his victory today.

Among them were Erna Solberg, Prime Minister of Norway, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg, Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, and UK Prime Minister Theresa May.

Norway’s Mr Stoltenberg said he “looks forward to working” with Mr Trump, stressing the importance of transatlantic bonds remaining strong.

“We face a challenging new security environment, including hybrid warfare, cyber-attacks, and the threat of terrorism. US leadership is as important as ever. [...] A strong NATO is good for the United States, and good for Europe,” he said in his speech.

Mr Stoltenberg added that he looks forward to meeting Mr Trump at next year’s NATO summit in Brussels to discuss the way forward.

The Norwegian Progress Party’s (FrP) Ulf Leirstein, the only MP who has openly supported Donald Trump, thinks that his Party has the solutions that Europe needs.

He tells Norway news agency NTB that he wants more normalised relations with Russia, which is better for world peace than a Hillary Clinton victory would have been.

“Singular”                                      

US Marines
US Marines
Gunnery Sgt. Joseph Lomangino/Public Domain
Donald Trump’s victory was not greeted by unilateral optimism in Norway, whose politicians had agreed the Scandinavian country’s long-term defence plan just in time for the US Presidential Election.

And US Marines will be operating in Norway on a rotational basis in 2017 following parliamentary approval.

“I was not surprised that he won; awaking to the news of his victory wasn’t a shock. I thought that Clinton had the biggest chance of winning but his [Trump’s] chances of this were also considerable,” says Jenny Klinge MP, who represents the Centre Party (Sp) on parliament’s Standing Committee on Justice, to The Foreigner.

“However, the seriousness of his victory lies in whether he will stick to his election campaign – which was conducted in a particularly singular manner – or not when he is sworn in as president soon. It will be grave if he continues to act like he has in recent months,” the opposition MP adds.

Trump can be an irascible man. What do think will happen should he be provoked?

“I’m quite sure that the administration that will surround him will moderate his politics, but his temper, which has astounded many, could lead to some incidents of note. We’ll have to wait and see.”

A less certain future

NUPI's Ulf Sverdrup
NUPI's Ulf Sverdrup
Institute of International Affairs, Oslo
Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI) director Ulf Sverdrup stresses the importance of transatlantic cooperation, but also some of its structural challenges.

He also mentions this in his op-ed in Tuesday’s edition of Norwegian business daily Dagens Næringsliv (DN).

“We need to stick to issues such as security and the economy. Trump’s election victory obviously brings a bit more uncertainty with it regarding the US in international affairs, the country’s relationship to international institutions, and more specifically on policies towards Europe, Russia, and China,” Mr Sverdrup comments.

“There is now also less certainty about the future in matters such as trade and climate policies, to mention just two. At the same time, we don’t know yet if he’ll do what he said in his campaign. It’s also uncertain whether he will be able to follow up on these points due to the checks and balance of the system, and we don’t know who would work with him.”

The NUPI director thinks that Norwegian policy should follow three tracks.

“Be patient with the US, maintaining and developing strong policies, look into strengthening links to the EU and certain European countries, and intensify Nordic cooperation,” he remarks.

In his DN op-ed, Mr Sverdrup writes that he thinks the US and Europe should stand by their commitments regarding security and defence policies. The partners must see the value of a common interests and values, and make resources available.

“Time for increased cooperation”

President-elect Donald Trump and several US leaders have said that European countries’ investment in defence is too low. NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg told Norwegian broadcaster NRK that “he [Trump] is completely right.”

NATO SG Jens Stoltenberg
NATO SG Jens Stoltenberg
NATO/Flickr
NUPI’s Ulf Sverdrup also highlights that US voters’ worries about globalisation and increased differences cannot be ignored. The transatlantic free trade goal should be supplemented by cooperation on efficient regulation for the environment and good standards.

Moreover, he suggests that the time for increased cooperation on tax and tax payment evasion might be here. One of Hillary Clinton’s criticisms of businessman Mr Trump is that he has not paid federal income taxes for years.

“This point [about tax cooperation and preventing payment evasion] cannot be ignored in either Europe or the US, in order to meet the voters concerned about globalization and inequality,” Mr Sverdrup remarks to The Foreigner.

“The question is how much Trump will push that. I think it will be more difficult with Trump to raise this. Whilst international cooperation would probably have been on Clinton’s agenda, Trump is not so interested in this.”

A question of reputation

NUPI director Ulf Sverdrup’s third general point facing the transatlantic cooperation touches the issue of how the transatlantic partners can find some common ground of issues they consider to be of long term strategic relevance.

Europe should probably therefore be more concerned with Asia, while the US must prioritise long-term development in areas south and east of Europe.

The White House at night (2011)
The White House at night (2011)
Rob Young/Wikimedia Commons
“I suspect Trump will be more inward-looking in relation to this. We don’t know yet, though he has indicated that he might go in this direction,” says Mr Sverdrup.

Lastly, nobody can believe that the US and Europe can govern alone in a world seeing major change.

Europe and the US increasing their bilateral cooperation and with others within international institutions will be decisive, according the NUPI director.

“Again, we don’t yet know what role Trump will play there. One of the most important things to reflect upon after the election is the international reputation of the US and the Western mode of governance,” Mr Sverdrup concludes.

The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) believes that Donald Trump’s election victory “will cause widespread alarm across the global economy, given his loose grasp of economic policy, unabashed political populism, and tendency for contradiction.”

President-elect Mr Trump will be sworn in as the 45th President of the United States on Friday 20th January 2017.



Published on Wednesday, 9th November, 2016 at 21:12 under the news category, by Michael Sandelson   .
Last updated on 9th November 2016 at 21:56.

This post has the following tags: trump, uspresident, clinton, obama, election, politics, immigration, defence, economy, thewhitehouse, republicans, democrats, paywall.





  
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